, Singapore

Has the manufacturing sector already reached its peak?

After PMI inched up, economists believe upsides will now be limited.

The manufacturing sector rally may have already peaked and is starting to run sideways, as economists from DBS Group Research see it.

According to the group, the manufacturing purchasing managers' indices only reported a 0.1 pt. to 51 in July.

"Whilst this is the 11th consecutive months of expansion, the rally has pretty much peaked. Indexes for new orders, new exports, and factory output have continued to march north but the overall reading was drag down by lower inventory level and contraction in employment," DBS Group Research said.

The electronics sector, which has always been the stellar performer, only recorded a 0.1 pt PMI increase, still driven by consumer demand.

"Whilst companies’ capex spending may be increasing, they may not be enough to pick up the slack from potentially weaker consumer demand ahead," the brokerage firm added.

Moving forward, PMIs are not expected to fall back into the red. However there will be a limited upside from here on as production capacity in some industries are nearing their limits.

It is also important to note the relationship between Singapore's manufacturing sector and the consumer demand in China.

"Tighter credit conditions, stiffer regulations on the property market and slower growth in general, could weigh down on consumer sentiments and companies’ willingness to increase their capex, which will indirectly affect Singapore’s manufacturing sector," DBS Group Research said.
 

Join Singapore Business Review community
Since you're here...

...there are many ways you can work with us to advertise your company and connect to your customers. Our team can help you dight and create an advertising campaign, in print and digital, on this website and in print magazine.

We can also organize a real life or digital event for you and find thought leader speakers as well as industry leaders, who could be your potential partners, to join the event. We also run some awards programmes which give you an opportunity to be recognized for your achievements during the year and you can join this as a participant or a sponsor.

Let us help you drive your business forward with a good partnership!