Search

NEWS
ECONOMY | Staff Reporter, Singapore
Published: 30 Nov 12
7242 views


These economic problems will nag Singapore in 2013

Not a very pretty picture.

According to CIMB, Singapore faces domestic challenges that are different from the west.

Here's more from CIMB:

It is not about the need for austerity, nor the process of deleveraging.

It is about inflation and cost pressures. Local liquidity is abundant. Negative domestic real rates have caused bubbly property prices; they are not the sole culprit.

The bees of global liquidity have zeroed-in on assets in Singapore’s honey pot, amid: 1) never-ending QEs in the developed world; 2) an ever-strengthening S$; and 3) its gold-plated AAA-sovereign rating.

Compounding its asset-inflationary pressures are spiralling labour costs from its current restructuring initiatives.

Unemployment rates remain low and efforts to wean the country off its dependence on cheap foreign labour are causing obvious pain. Labour constraints will likely hurt corporate earnings now and hurt GDP growth further ahead via less foreign direct investments.

What are 2013’s big risks? Our recommendation to step out of the comfort zone is clearly at risk if Europe falls apart or if rising protectionism, nationalism and uncontrollable social unrest is triggered as a backlash to austerity.

If these do not materialise, the more likely outcome in 1H13 is weak global growth (possibly, a technical recession in Singapore), more money-printing in the western world and an eventual threat of inflation or rather, stagflation.

In such an environment, NAV plays should serve investors well. Companies will have to manage rising business costs and earnings risks are still on the downside.

Sold-down cyclicals might start to perform as liquidity overflow and earnings disappointments taper off. Lastly, no one is expecting interest rates to rise but if they somehow do, the over-owned REIT sector stands at risk.



Sign up for our newsletter

 

Do you know more about this story? Contact us anonymously through this link.

Click here to learn about advertising, content sponsorship, events & rountables, custom media solutions, whitepaper writing, sales leads or eDM opportunities with us.

To get a media kit and information on advertising or sponsoring click here.

Tags: Singapore problems, Singapore inflation, Singapore unemployment

LATEST ECONOMY JOBS »
  • No jobs posted on this category.
    PRINT ISSUE »

    Subscribe Now
    What factors are keeping expats rooted in Singapore?

    1303 views

    What factors are keeping expats rooted in Singapore?

    634 views

    Can Asian private equity outgrow the west?

    297 views

    MOST READ EXCLUSIVES

    The 10 richest Singaporeans

    The 10 richest Singaporeans

    Altogether, their total amount of wealth dropped by 20% to US$32.5 billion.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    13 Apr 2015 | 111448 views
     

    16 items that are a tad cheaper in Singapore than in Hong Kong

    16 items that are a tad cheaper in Singapore than in Hong Kong

    Coffee lovers need not go farther for a cheaper cup of cappuccino.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    20 Mar 2015 | 106516 views

    Check out P&G Singapore’s new office with outdoor working spaces

    Check out P&G Singapore’s new office with outdoor working spaces

    It occupies 6 contiguous floors within The Metropolis.

    by LEE ANNE BABIERRA
    30 Apr 2015 | 21559 views
     

    Singapore’s 8 hottest 40 and under hotel chefs

    Singapore’s 8 hottest 40 and under hotel chefs

    Check out and be inspired from their humble beginnings before rising the ranks.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    27 Mar 2015 | 14603 views

    This is a woman’s world: CRIB launches Singapore’s first business and lifestyle incubator for women

    This is a woman’s world: CRIB launches Singapore’s first business and lifestyle incubator for women

    Find out what the three key platforms of CRIB are.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    10 Mar 2015 | 8908 views
     

    The New Black hits Singapore with rarest green coffee

    The New Black hits Singapore with rarest green coffee

    It also boasts of its Impossible Collection curated by the ‘world’s rockstar roasters'.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    5 Mar 2015 | 5564 views

    All the single ladies: Here’s Singapore’s first female-centric dating app for you

    All the single ladies: Here’s Singapore’s first female-centric dating app for you

    Its female-friendly features help women find serious daters.

    by LEE ANNE BABIERRA
    20 Apr 2015 | 5526 views
     

    Get to know the husband-and-wife duo behind the novice 3E Accounting

    Get to know the husband-and-wife duo behind the novice 3E Accounting

    This local accounting firm expanded from 2 to 35 members in just 4 years.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    24 Apr 2015 | 5321 views

    Take a sneak peek at Equinix’s $300m international business exchange data centre in Singapore

    Take a sneak peek at Equinix’s $300m international business exchange data centre in Singapore

    Which took almost a decade to finish.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    27 Apr 2015 | 3895 views
     

    Want to be hands-on with your ideal home setting?

    Want to be hands-on with your ideal home setting?

    Commune is opening an Experience Centre for meticulous homeowners.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    23 Mar 2015 | 3413 views

    Lazada Singapore CEO Martell Hardenberg talks about his “Happy Customer” philosophy

    Lazada Singapore CEO Martell Hardenberg talks about his “Happy Customer” philosophy

    Find out what other goals the 27-year-old has for the company.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    27 Mar 2015 | 3362 views
     

    Office in the sky: How’s having a meeting in the clouds?

    Office in the sky: How’s having a meeting in the clouds?

    Check out ACL Asia Pacific’s Cumulonimbus, Altostratus and Cirrus rooms.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    1 Apr 2015 | 3313 views

    LawCanvas saves the day: Easy legal documents in under a minute

    LawCanvas saves the day: Easy legal documents in under a minute

    The founders revolutionized the legal industry despite having different backgrounds.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    2 Mar 2015 | 2897 views
     

    Take a look inside INSEAD’s $55m leadership development centre in Singapore

    Take a look inside INSEAD’s $55m leadership development centre in Singapore

    It marks the fulfillment of a vision too ambitious to achieve 15 years ago.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    1 Apr 2015 | 2773 views

    Le Petit Paradis recently rebranded as Enoch’s European

    Le Petit Paradis recently rebranded as Enoch’s European

    It’s a full-fledged contemporary European restaurant blossomed from a motorcycle accident.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    22 Apr 2015 | 1507 views
     

    #OnTheContrary campaign reveals the ‘real struggles’ of entrepreneurs

    #OnTheContrary campaign reveals the ‘real struggles’ of entrepreneurs

    Rags to riches stories are fabulous, but here’s the real deal.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    27 Mar 2015 | 1316 views

    Find out what it’s like going into business with your in-law

    Find out what it’s like going into business with your in-law

    A young entrepreneur teamed up with his father-in-law to redefine home entertainment needs.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    27 Mar 2015 | 1104 views
     

    What is the future of the sports business in Singapore?

    What is the future of the sports business in Singapore?

    Can a new billion-dollar stadium give Singapore the edge it needs to compete for world-class sporting events?

    by STAFF REPORTER
    20 Mar 2015 | 922 views

    Fragrance Du Bois to launch a new scent this year

    Fragrance Du Bois to launch a new scent this year

    Also, check out its pop-up boutique at TANGS Orchard open until April 26.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    17 Apr 2015 | 883 views
     

    HAITE Group launches its first aviation training center in Singapore

    HAITE Group launches its first aviation training center in Singapore

    It is the first major investment by a Chinese aerospace firm.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    13 May 2015 | 871 views

    This bold ad film tells you what happens when maids are not given their due day off

    This bold ad film tells you what happens when maids are not given their due day off

    ‘Mums & Maids’ generated 5 million views in 5 days.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    7 May 2015 | 824 views
     

    Singapore retailers turn to technology to boost productivity

    Singapore retailers turn to technology to boost productivity

    Shopping for the first child is always challenging for the parents.

    by STAFF REPORTER
    15 May 2015 | 741 views

    Megafash sets the stage for local entrepreneurs to introduce indie brands

    Megafash sets the stage for local entrepreneurs to introduce indie brands

    It plans to expand in Malaysia and Indonesia.

    by KRISANA GALLEZO
    20 Apr 2015 | 615 views
     
    close Don't Show Again

    STAY INFORMED! Get our free weekly newsletter