Search

Singapore\'s founding father Mr Lee Kuan Yew passes away at 91
REMEMBERING LEE KUAN YEW (1923-2015)
Singapore's founding father Mr Lee Kuan Yew passes away at 91

The State Funeral Service will be held on Sunday.
1178 views

NEWS
ECONOMY | Staff Reporter, Singapore
Published: 30 Nov 12
6998 views


These economic problems will nag Singapore in 2013

Not a very pretty picture.

According to CIMB, Singapore faces domestic challenges that are different from the west.

Here's more from CIMB:

It is not about the need for austerity, nor the process of deleveraging.

It is about inflation and cost pressures. Local liquidity is abundant. Negative domestic real rates have caused bubbly property prices; they are not the sole culprit.

The bees of global liquidity have zeroed-in on assets in Singapore’s honey pot, amid: 1) never-ending QEs in the developed world; 2) an ever-strengthening S$; and 3) its gold-plated AAA-sovereign rating.

Compounding its asset-inflationary pressures are spiralling labour costs from its current restructuring initiatives.

Unemployment rates remain low and efforts to wean the country off its dependence on cheap foreign labour are causing obvious pain. Labour constraints will likely hurt corporate earnings now and hurt GDP growth further ahead via less foreign direct investments.

What are 2013’s big risks? Our recommendation to step out of the comfort zone is clearly at risk if Europe falls apart or if rising protectionism, nationalism and uncontrollable social unrest is triggered as a backlash to austerity.

If these do not materialise, the more likely outcome in 1H13 is weak global growth (possibly, a technical recession in Singapore), more money-printing in the western world and an eventual threat of inflation or rather, stagflation.

In such an environment, NAV plays should serve investors well. Companies will have to manage rising business costs and earnings risks are still on the downside.

Sold-down cyclicals might start to perform as liquidity overflow and earnings disappointments taper off. Lastly, no one is expecting interest rates to rise but if they somehow do, the over-owned REIT sector stands at risk.



Sign up for our newsletter

 

Do you know more about this story? Contact us anonymously through this link.

Click here to learn about advertising, content sponsorship, events & rountables, custom media solutions, whitepaper writing, sales leads or eDM opportunities with us.

To get a media kit and information on advertising or sponsoring click here.

Tags: Singapore problems, Singapore inflation, Singapore unemployment

LATEST ECONOMY JOBS »
  • No jobs posted on this category.
PRINT ISSUE »

Subscribe Now
What factors are keeping expats rooted in Singapore?

710 views

What factors are keeping expats rooted in Singapore?

522 views

Can Asian private equity outgrow the west?

194 views

MOST READ EXCLUSIVES

Singapore’s first permanent lifestyle market opens in Bukit Timah

Singapore’s first permanent lifestyle market opens in Bukit Timah

Over 20 brands and labels are gathered together under one roof.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
5 Jan 2015 | 35276 views
 

Singapore Business Review’s 2014 Class of 40 and under

Singapore Business Review’s 2014 Class of 40 and under

Meet a summa cumlaude graduate who rises from poverty to become JP Morgan’s head of corporate finance.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
12 Jan 2015 | 32831 views

16 items that are a tad cheaper in Singapore than in Hong Kong

16 items that are a tad cheaper in Singapore than in Hong Kong

Coffee lovers need not go farther for a cheaper cup of cappuccino.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
20 Mar 2015 | 27898 views
 

Chow Tai Fook opens second store in Singapore

Chow Tai Fook opens second store in Singapore

It's a 1,000-square feet new jewellery shop on Orchard Road.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
26 Feb 2015 | 10915 views

This food hub in Seah Street brings a throwback experience to dining

This food hub in Seah Street brings a throwback experience to dining

It offers an exciting lunch menu which changes every week.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
16 Jan 2015 | 7245 views
 

This is a woman’s world: CRIB launches Singapore’s first business and lifestyle incubator for women

This is a woman’s world: CRIB launches Singapore’s first business and lifestyle incubator for women

Find out what the three key platforms of CRIB are.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
10 Mar 2015 | 7158 views

Check out this integrated office cum lab of Friesland Campina in Singapore

Check out this integrated office cum lab of Friesland Campina in Singapore

A curved glass wall resulted in a 90% open-plan office.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
17 Feb 2015 | 3896 views
 

The New Black hits Singapore with rarest green coffee

The New Black hits Singapore with rarest green coffee

It also boasts of its Impossible Collection curated by the ‘world’s rockstar roasters'.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
5 Mar 2015 | 3767 views

Too many business cards? Why don’t you try Sansan’s business card management service?

Too many business cards? Why don’t you try Sansan’s business card management service?

After Singapore, this contract management company plans to expand in the APAC region.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
12 Feb 2015 | 3688 views
 

This startup created the world’s first bed sensor technology

This startup created the world’s first bed sensor technology

No more patients accidentally falling off hospital beds.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
14 Jan 2015 | 3152 views

Spencer Ogden gets funky with its newest trademark space in Singapore

Spencer Ogden gets funky with its newest trademark space in Singapore

The company invested over $1M to make this signature office possible.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
5 Feb 2015 | 3017 views
 

Meet INSEAD’s new chairman of the board

Meet INSEAD’s new chairman of the board

Find out how Andreas Jacobs plans to bring “business as a force for good”.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
14 Jan 2015 | 2452 views

What it’s like going into business with your significant other

What it’s like going into business with your significant other

A couple who founded an artisanal food outlet, P.Bistro, shares experience.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
9 Jan 2015 | 2070 views
 

LawCanvas saves the day: Easy legal documents in under a minute

LawCanvas saves the day: Easy legal documents in under a minute

The founders revolutionized the legal industry despite having different backgrounds.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
2 Mar 2015 | 1853 views

PocketMath makes buying mobile ad impressions easier

PocketMath makes buying mobile ad impressions easier

It integrates over 20 ad exchanges and offers over 20B impressions a day.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
9 Feb 2015 | 1555 views
 

MetLife builds its first global R&D hub

MetLife builds its first global R&D hub

It bills itself as a first-of-its-kind innovation centre for the insurance industry.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
26 Jan 2015 | 1525 views

The heat is on: This office literally gets a bit hot for their green drive

The heat is on: This office literally gets a bit hot for their green drive

Discover how they execute their green initiatives in the office.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
22 Jan 2015 | 1444 views
 

FTMSGlobal Academy Singapore launches new weekend MBA

FTMSGlobal Academy Singapore launches new weekend MBA

The course fee is below $20,000.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
8 Jan 2015 | 1195 views

Here’s how migrants can be sure their loved ones back home paid the doctor a visit

Here’s how migrants can be sure their loved ones back home paid the doctor a visit

This NRI-focused startup also gives migrants monthly feedback from the doctor.

by KRISANA GALLEZO
7 Jan 2015 | 1185 views
 

What is the future of the sports business in Singapore?

What is the future of the sports business in Singapore?

Can a new billion-dollar stadium give Singapore the edge it needs to compete for world-class sporting events?

by STAFF REPORTER
20 Mar 2015 | 296 views
close Don't Show Again

STAY INFORMED! Get our free weekly newsletter