Residential prices may plunge 12-18% in 2012

Mass market unit prices are expected to drop from $1,000psf to $850psf next year.

CIMB says volumes for more affordable mass market units will be on hold.

Here’s more from CIMB:

While property developers are now in stronger financial positions, we believe capital values are unlikely to hold in a crisis scenario. We have turned more bearish on the macro environment and expect prices to fall in 2012. We lower our residential prices assumption by 12-18%, from S$2,900psf to S$2,550psf for the luxury-end and S$1,000psf to S$850psf for the mass market.

This implies a 18%-25% reduction from current transacted levels and closer to values seen in 2009. With the expected slowdown in the global economy next year, we believe volumes for more affordable mass market units will hold. Sentiment for the high-end is unlikely to see respite, a segment we have been wrong about.

Join Singapore Business Review community
A NOTE FROM SINGAPORE BUSINESS REVIEW

If you've been wondering whether SBR could work for your company — yes, probably.

A lot of the companies we partner with started as readers. They'd been following our coverage for a while, saw their own customers and competitors in it, and eventually asked the obvious question: could we do something with you? The answer is usually yes. The shape of it depends on what you're trying to do.


The options are broader than most people assume — thought leadership articles, sponsored content, industry summits across Southeast Asia, regional awards programmes, podcasts, and media placements in print and digital. Some partners use one channel; most use a mix. We figure out the right combination by starting with your brief, not with our rate card.


So if the question has been on your mind, here's the easy way to ask it.

We'll tell you honestly whether we can help, and how. It's a better use of everyone's time.